Archive for Intervention

Japanese Intervention was Not Sterilized - What Does that Mean?

The Bank of Japan said explicitly last night that their intervention will NOT be sterilized. This is VERY good because it gives their intervention efforts a greater chance of succeeding.
Intervention by central banks is one of the most important short-term and long-term fundamental drivers in the currency market. For short-term traders, intervention [...]

G7 Statement on Coordinated FX Intervention

18 March 2011 - Statement of G7 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors
We, the G7 Finance Ministers and central bank governors, discussed the recent dramatic events in Japan and were briefed by our Japanese colleagues on the current situation and the economic and financial response put in place by the authorities.
We express our solidarity with [...]

Will a Second Round of Japanese Intervention be Effective

Back from Vegas last night and on the Business News Network this afternoon talking about whether a second round of Japanese intervention will be as effective as the first. Click on the image to access the video

What is Sterilized Intervention?

Intervention by central banks is one of the most important short-term and long-term fundamental drivers in the currency market. For short-term traders, intervention can lead to sharp intraday movements on the scale of 150 to 250 pips in a matter of minutes. For longer-term traders, intervention can signal a significant change in trend because it [...]

Outlook for JPY, GBP, EUR, USD

I was on the Business News Network this morning talking about today’s developments including the Japanese elections, the prospect of intervention, the UK CPI numbers, the reason why euro is weak and U.S. retail sales. Click on the image to access the Video

SNB Intervenes in the Swiss Franc!

Last week we raised the question of what the Swiss National Bank is waiting for and why they haven’t intervened. In that article we said “Everyone has an uncle point and for the SNB there is no question that we are nearing that level…” At that time, EUR/CHF was trading at 1.4272 and [...]

Why the SNB Has Not Intervened in the CHF

For the eighth trading day in a row, EUR/CHF has failed to rally. The Swiss Franc even ended the day at a fresh record high against the euro as traders test the resolve of the Swiss National Bank. This has led many currency traders to wonder What is the SNB Waiting For? Why haven’t they [...]

Why USD/JPY Could Continue to Fall

Last Friday, the CFTC released their weekly report of futures positioning. According to the data, which was as of last Tuesday, short positions in the Japanese Yen hit the highest levels since August 2008. At that time, the Yen weakened significantly and soon after a short squeeze pushed the currency sharply higher against the [...]