Archive for forex blog

Kathy’s CNBC Interview: Upside for the Yen?

I was on CNBC Squawk Box Australia last night talking about the outlook for the Japanese Yen as well as the European currencies:

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My Favorite Forex Trade: AUD/NZD

My favorite forex trade right now is shorting AUD/NZD.
After hitting a 9 year high of 1.3124 last week, the rally in AUD/NZD is losing steam. I should have posted about this earlier, but I think there is still room for the currency pair to fall.
Last week, the Reserve Bank of [...]

Who Has Lost More Jobs - Men or Women?

The U.S. labor market report was released this morning and the data was much better than everyone had anticipated. Following the warning from Larry Summers that the storms in the Northeast could have swelled unemployment rolls, investors were bracing for the worst. However disaster was averted and Larry Summers will probably not be [...]

What Does Larry Summers Know About Payrolls?

Aside from the fact that Lawrence Summers, who is Obama’s Economic Advisor was a former Treasury Secretary, what does he really know about last month’s non-farm payrolls report? On the eve of the February NFP release, we wonder loudly how accurate his prediction of a snow-storm related bulge in unemployment really is.
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Video: What to Expect from ECB, BoE and Non-Farm Payrolls

I was on Fox Business this afternoon talking about the overstretched positions in the euro and British pound as well as the outlook for the ECB, BoE and Non-farm payrolls report
If the video doesn’t load, watch it here Kathy’s Fox Business Interview
Watch the latest business video at video.foxbusiness.com

British Pound Falling - WSJ Cites Upcoming Election

The WSJ and the Financial Times are crediting the drop in the British pound to the upcoming election. Worth a read though I still think that its more than just politics because politics have been in the background for the past few months. If you haven’t read it yet, read my piece on 5 [...]

Outlook for Australian Dollar

I was on CNBC Australia last night talking about the outlook for the Australian dollar and the upcoming RBA rate decision

British Pound: 5 Reasons Why the Pound is Being Pounded

With mixed to slightly better than expected U.K. economic data, traders may be scratching their heads about why the British pound has collapsed more than 300 pips this morning. Here are a couple of reasons:
1. Britain’s Prudential announced plans to buy AIG’s Asia operations for $35.5 billion in cash and stock - since this [...]

My Favorite Forex Trade: GBP/AUD

My favorite long term forex trade is short GBP/AUD. From both a technical and fundamental basis, the currency should be headed lower.
Based upon the recent trend of economic data including the highest level of unemployment in 12 years and the sharpest decline in retail sales since Feb 2009, the Bank of England should [...]