Archive for eur/usd

Chart: Euro and Impact of Joint Intervention

The following chart shows how the EUR/USD traded after the G7 joint intervention in Sept 2000. The EUR/USD made a new low and the ECB followed up with more intervention a month later which finally carved out the bottom. Will USD/JPY behave the same way?

Forex: Major Changes to Rate Hike Expectations

Over the past 3 weeks, central banks around the world have made a number of comments that have affected rate hike expectations. On Jan 27th, I showed where rate hike expectations were at the time and since then a number of interesting changes have occurred.
First, the market is now pricing in a 25bp rate [...]

CNBC Video: Outlook for Euro

I was on CNBC last night talking about the outlook for the euro. Here’s the video:

BNN Video: Outlook for EUR, AUD and CAD

I was on the Business News Network this morning talking about the euro, Australian dollar and Canadian dollar. Click on the image to access the video. Enjoy!

Euro: Points of Resistance

The EUR/USD has enjoyed a tremendous rally today thanks to weaker U.S. economic data, hawkish comments from ECB President Trichet and successful bond auctions in Spain and Portugal. The rally in the EUR/USD is the strongest in nearly 3 months and has led many people to believe that the downtrend in the EUR/USD is [...]

Euro - Down Baby, Down

Down baby, down. Who said 1.30 is not possible (Not me - Bearish euro calls)? Trouble begets more trouble. As I said on my twitter feed twitter.com/kathyliefx no one wants to own euros. Irish, Portuguese and Spanish 5 year CDS spreads have all widened (What are Credit Default Swaps?). I expect more [...]

Update on Bearish EUR, AUD and CAD Calls

I have received alot of notes on my bearish AUD, EUR and CAD calls, so here is a quick update. If you missed the call, I’ve copied all the info below. Updates in RED.
1) Short EUR - Looking good. Would be smart to take off half here, still looking for [...]

Bearish AUD, CAD and EUR

Fresh back from vacation in the Sunny Caribbean - here are some trades that I like off the bat:
1) Short AUD - After last week’s disappointing GDP, retail sales, service and manufacturing PMI reports, there is no chance the RBA will be talking about another rate hike this evening. The last time we heard [...]

How EUR Could React to Irish Bailout

A great deal of discussion has been had about whether or not Ireland needs a bailout. However as currency traders, what is important to us is how the euro could react if the speculation becomes reality and history can be particularly useful for this purpose.
Greece received a record breaking bailout the weekend [...]

Why is Euro Pulling Back?

I was on the Business News Network this morning talking about why the euro pulled back after touching 1.40 and the fundamentals behind the trade. Click on the image to access the video: