Archive for British Pound

Forex: Major Changes to Rate Hike Expectations

Over the past 3 weeks, central banks around the world have made a number of comments that have affected rate hike expectations. On Jan 27th, I showed where rate hike expectations were at the time and since then a number of interesting changes have occurred.
First, the market is now pricing in a 25bp rate [...]

Chart: BoE Inflation Report Rarely a Nonevent for GBP

The Bank of England’s Quarterly Inflation Report is one of the most important pieces of documents released by the central bank. The Inflation Report includes the central bank’s latest growth and inflation forecasts and frequently telegraphs their plans for monetary policy. Although the Monetary Policy Committee has not changed interest rates in nearly [...]

What is the Shadow BoE Monetary Policy Committee?

Since the beginning of the month, the British pound has staged a dramatic rally against the U.S. dollar on the belief that the Bank of England will have to raise interest rates very soon. In slightly more than a month, the GBP/USD has rallied from a low of 1.54 to a high above 1.6250. [...]

Charting the GBPUSD: Head and Shoulders Update

The weak UK GDP number caused the GBP/USD to sell off aggressively today, breaking the uptrend in the currency pair. Earlier this week, I posted a chart about a head and shoulders formation that could be forming in the GBP/USD. At the time, I said that it was a bit premature but after [...]

Head and Shoulders in GBPUSD?

After rallying for 9 straight trading days, the GBP/USD has finally pulled back. In my Charting the GBP/USD post yesterday, I showed a chart illustrating the extremeness of the move in the currency and talked about how it was prime for a correction. Typically when moves become this overextended, a correction of AT [...]

Charting the GBP: Due for a Correction

The British pound is currently enjoying its longest rally since July of last year. Nine straight days of gains has taken the currency from 1.54 to a high above 1.60. When a move in a currency pair becomes this overextended, it screams for a correction. Whether this correction is large or small [...]

Outlook for JPY, GBP, EUR, USD

I was on the Business News Network this morning talking about today’s developments including the Japanese elections, the prospect of intervention, the UK CPI numbers, the reason why euro is weak and U.S. retail sales. Click on the image to access the Video

Kathy’s EUR and GBP Outlook (Bloomberg Interview)

Greetings from Singapore! I was on Bloomberg Television this morning talking about my outlook for the EUR and GBP. If you can catch it, I will be guest hosting CNBC Australia from 6am-7am Singapore time (6pm - 7pm NY Time) tomorrow morning.
Click on the image to access the video:

British Pound Falling - WSJ Cites Upcoming Election

The WSJ and the Financial Times are crediting the drop in the British pound to the upcoming election. Worth a read though I still think that its more than just politics because politics have been in the background for the past few months. If you haven’t read it yet, read my piece on 5 [...]

British Pound: 5 Reasons Why the Pound is Being Pounded

With mixed to slightly better than expected U.K. economic data, traders may be scratching their heads about why the British pound has collapsed more than 300 pips this morning. Here are a couple of reasons:
1. Britain’s Prudential announced plans to buy AIG’s Asia operations for $35.5 billion in cash and stock - since this [...]