Archive for 2010 eurusd forecast

CNBC Video: My Outlook for Euro

Here’s a clip from my CNBC Asia Guest Hosting slot last night. We talked about the EU Summit and my outlook plus levels for EUR

CNBC - Talking Seasonality and Outlook for EUR

I was on CNBC Squawk on the Street with Carl, Melissa and Simon this morning talking about my outlook for the euro and seasonality. Here’s the clip:

Tables: US and EZ Economic Performance Since Last Recession

We have FOMC and ECB meetings in the next 24 hours. Here’s some info on how economic data has fared since the last meeting.
US: Not Doing So Bad

ECB: Nothing but Weakness, Skirting Recession

How Much Further Can the EUR Rise?

Sorry for the radio silence - have been on vacation then corporate craziness
The euro staged a remarkable rally today after dipping as low as 1.4060 following the U.S. non-farm payrolls release. The resilience of the single currency is incredibly impressive considering that Standard & Poor’s downgraded Ireland’s sovereign debt rating and Fitch warned [...]

Chart: Euro and Impact of Joint Intervention

The following chart shows how the EUR/USD traded after the G7 joint intervention in Sept 2000. The EUR/USD made a new low and the ECB followed up with more intervention a month later which finally carved out the bottom. Will USD/JPY behave the same way?

CNBC Video: Outlook for EUR, AUD and CAD

I was on CNBC Asia last night talking about the euro, aussie and cad

Another Reason why the EUR Should Rise

There are many reasons for why the EUR/USD should continue to rise, the strongest of which has been the Federal Reserve’s plans to ease monetary policy. However, there is another reason why the uptrend in the EUR/USD has been so strong. The following chart shows the correlation between the German IFO Report (white [...]

Fed Officials: Where do they Stand?

How close is the Federal Reserve to easing monetary policy in November? Pretty close if we look at the views of different FOMC members. However the skepticism of some officials could compromise the overall size of the asset purchase program.
Read on to find out where FOMC voters stand:
Voting Members of the FOMC
Believe More QE [...]

Dollar will Stabilize when Yields Stop Falling

Saying the U.S. dollar is falling out of bed would almost be an understatement given the recent price action in the greenback. Over the past three months, the dollar lost more than 10 percent of its value against the euro, Swiss Franc and Australian dollar. Since July, every one of the G10 currencies [...]

Outlook for JPY, GBP, EUR, USD

I was on the Business News Network this morning talking about today’s developments including the Japanese elections, the prospect of intervention, the UK CPI numbers, the reason why euro is weak and U.S. retail sales. Click on the image to access the Video