Archive for 2009 japanese yen

BNN Video - Talking Yen Intervention

I was on the Business News Network talking about intervention in Japan, whether it has been successful, Libya and the outlook for the FX market. Click on the image to access the video

JPY Breaks 83: Time for Intervention?

Prime Minister Kan won the elections last night and Yen traders have interpreted his victory to mean a more relaxed approach towards intervention. This may be true when compared to the pro-intervention stance of Ozawa (his challenger) but the rapid appreciation in the Yen against the U.S. dollar AND the Chinese Yuan has also [...]

Bank of Japan Stepping it Up?

Is the Bank of Japan stepping things up? In a very unusual move, BoJ Governor Shirakawa said earlier today:

“There are substantial fluctuations in the foreign exchange and stock markets mainly against the backdrop of growing uncertainty about the outlook for the U.S economy. The Bank of Japan will carefully monitor such developments and [...]

CNBC Interview: Outlook on Asian Currencies

I was on CNBC Squawk Box Asia last night talking about all things Asia including the outlook for Japanese Yen, Korean Won and Chinese Yuan.
Here is the clip if you missed the segment

Update on USDJPY and US Yields

Yields on short-term US Treasury debt have fallen to the lowest in history on mounting expectations of extra stimulus from the Federal Reserve. USD/JPY has been doing nothing but tracking yields which means that until yields bottom, USD/JPY will remain under pressure. I’ve been talking about this for weeks now - here’s an updated [...]

How Far Can USD/JPY Fall?

The U.S. dollar fell to a 7 month low against the Japanese Yen this morning following another barrage of weak economic data. Consumer prices fell, foreign inflows decreased and the UMich consumer confidence survey dropped to the lowest level since August 2009. On FX360.com, I talked incessantly in my daily report about how [...]

What Japan Post’s New Deposit Limit Means for JPY

This morning, Japan Post Bank announced plans to double their deposit limit from 10 million to 20 million yen. Japan Post Bank is the country’s largest postal service operator and also its largest financial institution. With financial assets of 300 trillion yen or the equivalent of US$3 trillion, their holdings exceed the entire [...]

USD/JPY: What is Behind the Sharp Rally

USD/JPY is on a tear this morning following the better than expected jobless claims report. I think traders are relieved that the deterioration in the labor market can officially be blamed on Mr. Frosty because jobless claims have reverted back to pre-snow storm levels. Although I am worried by the sharp rise in the number [...]

Will DPJ Leadership Have a Lasting Impact on the Yen?

The Japanese Yen strengthened across the board as investors cheer new leadership in Japan. After more than 50 years of unchallenged power, the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) has been finally defeated by the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ). The big question of if and when Prime Minister Aso will announce his resignation was [...]

Floor Caving Under USD/JPY?

The 95 price level for USD/JPY has served as very strong support over the past few months and now that the currency pair is trading well below that price level, it appears that the floor is caving in.
The following chart illustrates the significance of the breakdown. USD/JPY is trading in sell zone, [...]