Archive for 2009 japanese yen forecast

Interesting USD/JPY Chart

Look at this, USD/JPY moving along with 2 year yields. What does this suggest? That next week, USD/JPY could bounce. If payrolls is very weak, that may not happen, but U.S. yields are nearing very low levels and short positions area heavily weighted to USD shorts.

Impact of New Japanese Prime Minister on Yen

Japan announced a new Prime Minister this morning - Naoto Kan. Hopefully he will have better luck than his 4 predecessors who resigned with only a year or less in service.
Resignations by Prime Ministers can have a significant impact on the country’s currency because its performance reflects investor sentiment. Forex traders typically [...]

What Japan Post’s New Deposit Limit Means for JPY

This morning, Japan Post Bank announced plans to double their deposit limit from 10 million to 20 million yen. Japan Post Bank is the country’s largest postal service operator and also its largest financial institution. With financial assets of 300 trillion yen or the equivalent of US$3 trillion, their holdings exceed the entire [...]

USD/JPY: What is Behind the Sharp Rally

USD/JPY is on a tear this morning following the better than expected jobless claims report. I think traders are relieved that the deterioration in the labor market can officially be blamed on Mr. Frosty because jobless claims have reverted back to pre-snow storm levels. Although I am worried by the sharp rise in the number [...]

Will DPJ Leadership Have a Lasting Impact on the Yen?

The Japanese Yen strengthened across the board as investors cheer new leadership in Japan. After more than 50 years of unchallenged power, the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) has been finally defeated by the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ). The big question of if and when Prime Minister Aso will announce his resignation was [...]

Floor Caving Under USD/JPY?

The 95 price level for USD/JPY has served as very strong support over the past few months and now that the currency pair is trading well below that price level, it appears that the floor is caving in.
The following chart illustrates the significance of the breakdown. USD/JPY is trading in sell zone, [...]

Yen to Strengthen Further?

I am back from vacation and found this interesting tidbit that could lead to further Yen strength over the next few days:
Sumitomo have announced they are looking at doing a rights issue next week (up to USD 8.6 bio equiv) of which 50% will be offered to non domestics. This deal is expected to close [...]